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Another Chinese missile risks hitting Earth | When and Where

The title is quite explanatory and that’s the gist of the news, as another Long March 5B missile, of the same type as the protagonist in previous episodes of the same content, is about to hit Earth in a currently indefinable position. This is another out-of-control return of the supporter by China.

How did we get to such a situation again? The reason is very simple. On October 31, the China Manned Space Agency (CSMA) launched the third version of e The last unit of the Tiangong Space Station, called Mingtian, as a payload for the Long March 5B missile. Like previous operations, the Chinese space agency has not removed the controlled orbit of the rocket’s central stage after its payload has been deployed. This means, once again, that the body of a Chinese rocket weighing 23 tons and the size of a 10-story building will hit the ground.

Let’s face it right away, he won’t bring his mass to the ground and Much of it will burn up in the atmospherebut some debris could rise to the surface and as mentioned in the opening, at the moment we cannot accurately calculate a potential position.

This is according to the forecasts of the Aerospace Corporation, which does not hide a certain indignation at this new event, expressed in the words of Ted Mullhaupt, a high-ranking consultant working with the company.

For those who have watched previous versions of this: Here we are again. […] Uncertainty about where large debris will eventually land presents a level of risk to human safety and property damage well beyond generally accepted thresholds.”

We’ve also faced similar dangers in the past, beginning in 2020 when the first stage of the same rocket was intentionally dropped toward Earth after a space capsule was taken into orbit. In this case, the wreck reached West Africa. The same fate a few months ago when the last Long March-5B first stage missilewhich launched on July 24 to bring the unit into space Wentian From the Tiangong space station, it crashed in the eastern part of the Indian Ocean, between Malaysia and Indonesia. But there was also another event in 2021, so the precedents are too much and that NASA and other space agencies don’t like.

In the next two days, we can expect more accurate calculations and a possible reduction of the time window, the course of which will allow us to identify the areas most at risk with a greater degree of certainty. However, we know that re-entry to the atmosphere must take place within 28 hours As for our time zone, it will open on Saturday after 2am, extending into Sunday.

The main problem in such cases is that once re-entry into the atmosphere begins, it is almost impossible to predict the impact area with absolute accuracy, since missiles of this size can leave behind traces of debris hundreds of kilometers in length. The last time one of these depleted reinforcements landed at the end of July, the fragments were found in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines.

Aside from some damage to structures, fortunately, falling junk into space hasn’t caused any personal injury yet. And as usual on similar occasions It’s good not to be upset And remember, the chances of shrapnel getting to our heads are very low. The wreckage will almost certainly end up at sea or in sparsely populated rural areasHowever, it is good and correct to monitor everything, since possible damage to people or things cannot be ruled out 100%.

At the moment, the potential flight path covers a fairly large area, and as can be seen in the photo shared by Aerospace Corporation, it passes through the United States, China, India, southern Europe, South America, Africa and Australia. Looking at Europe, the only countries that can be said to be completely safe are those at or above the latitude of France, while Italy appears to be divided in two, with greater risks to the southern regions.

We will follow developments and update the news as soon as new data becomes available, but we invite everyone to calm down since then Participation rates for our country are very low at the moment.

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